Mariners vs Tigers Injury Report – Sunday, July 13, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Detroit Tigers

On July 13, 2025, the Detroit Tigers will host the Seattle Mariners at Comerica Park for the third game of their series. The Tigers, boasting a strong record of 59-37, are having a great season and currently sit in a favorable position in the standings. In contrast, the Mariners, with a record of 50-45, are enjoying an above-average season but are not in contention for the division title.

In their last matchup, the Mariners fell to the Tigers, which may have lingering effects as they look to bounce back. The Tigers are projected to start Jack Flaherty, who has had a challenging year with a 5-9 record and a 4.70 ERA. However, his 3.65 xFIP suggests that he might have been unlucky and could perform better moving forward. Flaherty’s high strikeout rate of 29.3% may give him an edge against a Mariners offense that ranks 4th in MLB for strikeouts.

Logan Gilbert, projected to start for the Mariners, has had a solid season with a 3.88 ERA and a much lower xFIP of 2.39. He has struggled with a 2-3 record over 11 starts, but his ability to limit runs makes him a key player to watch. Gilbert projects to pitch 5.8 innings and allow 2.5 earned runs, while Flaherty is expected to pitch 5.5 innings with an average of 2.7 earned runs.

The Tigers’ offense ranks 6th in MLB and has been productive this season, while the Mariners sit at 11th. With the Tigers’ bullpen ranked 5th overall, they may have the advantage in late-game situations. The current Game Total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating a competitive matchup. Both teams have similar moneylines at -110, suggesting a tightly contested game ahead.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
  Logan Gilbert is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #22 HR venue among all parks in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his weak side against Jack Flaherty in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Jack Flaherty has used his slider 6.4% less often this season (22.6%) than he did last season (29%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+1100/-5000)
  Colt Keith has performed at a clip of 0 swiped bags per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 0th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+11.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)
  Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 76% ROI)