Live Stream for Giants vs White Sox Game – Saturday, June 28, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox host the San Francisco Giants for the second game of their series on June 28, 2025, after the Giants secured a win in the opener, defeating the White Sox 3-1 on June 27. The White Sox are struggling this season with a record of 26-56, ranking 30th in the league for both overall performance and batting average. Conversely, the Giants sit at 45-37, showing above-average performance and looking to capitalize on the White Sox’s weaknesses.

Adrian Houser is projected to take the mound for the White Sox. Although he has a solid ERA of 2.27 this season, his advanced metrics indicate he has been somewhat lucky, as his xFIP sits at 4.15. Houser’s performance in his last start on June 22 was shaky, allowing 7 hits and 3 walks while managing to give up only 2 earned runs. He projects to pitch 5.2 innings, allowing approximately 2.7 earned runs but struggling with strikeouts and hits.

On the other hand, Robbie Ray is expected to start for the Giants. With an impressive 3.75 xFIP and 8 wins against just 2 losses, Ray’s ERA of 2.83 highlights his effectiveness this season. His last outing was also less than stellar, giving up 3 earned runs in 5 innings, but he boasts a favorable matchup against the White Sox’s 30th-ranked offense.

Considering the current trends and performance metrics, the Giants have a clear advantage, bolstered by their strong bullpen, ranked 5th best in MLB. The projections suggest that the Giants are more likely to score, with an implied team total of 4.42 runs, compared to the White Sox’s low total of 3.58 runs. Overall, expect the Giants to continue their winning momentum in this matchup.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Robbie Ray – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  The Chicago White Sox have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-205/+160)
  Hitters such as Wilmer Flores with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Adrian Houser who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-205/+160)
  Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Adrian Houser – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Adrian Houser’s 93.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.2-mph increase from last year’s 92.1-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under Hits
  Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Luis Robert Jr., Austin Slater).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.25 Units / 87% ROI)