Athletics vs Tigers Betting Guide – 6/25/25

Athletics

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Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers will host the Oakland Athletics on June 25, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Tigers have been performing exceptionally well this season, sitting at 50-30, while the Athletics struggle at 32-49. In their most recent clash on June 24, the Tigers dominated, winning 11-4, and they’ll look to continue their momentum as they face the Athletics for the second game of the series.

Detroit will send Jack Flaherty to the mound. Despite a rough outing in his last start where he allowed 8 earned runs over just 2 innings, Flaherty is still considered an above-average pitcher, ranking 74th among approximately 350 starters according to advanced metrics. He has a 4.83 ERA this season, but his 3.69 xFIP suggests he may have been unlucky, indicating potential for improvement. Flaherty projects to strike out 7.4 batters while allowing just 2.4 earned runs today, a solid performance if he can manage his hits and walks.

On the other side, Jacob Lopez will take the hill for the Athletics. Lopez has been average overall with a 4.25 ERA and a 1-4 record this season. However, recent projections show he could also be due for better results, as he has a 3.63 SIERA. While Lopez pitched well in his last outing on June 19, allowing only 1 earned run over 6 innings, he has struggled to go deep into games, averaging just 4.7 innings.

Offensively, the Tigers rank 5th in MLB, showcasing a powerful lineup that can put runs on the board. They are expected to score around 4.49 runs today, while the Athletics, despite a respectable ranking of 10th overall, are projected to struggle with a low team total of 3.51 runs. With the Tigers’ strong bullpen ranked 8th in the league, they have the advantage in this matchup, making them a solid pick for bettors looking to capitalize on their current form.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
  Jacob Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #23 HR venue in MLB today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Jack Flaherty’s slider rate has fallen by 6.1% from last season to this one (29% to 22.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Spencer Torkelson’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 82.4-mph in the last two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Projected catcher Jake Rogers profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+17.83 Units / 20% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.67 Units / 13% ROI)
• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.50 Units / 47% ROI)