Cleveland Guardians
Athletics
(-120/+100)+100
As the Cleveland Guardians face the Oakland Athletics on June 20, 2025, in the first game of their series at Sutter Health Park, both teams are looking to gain momentum after mixed results in their most recent outings. The Athletics secured a 6-4 victory against the Guardians yesterday, which showcased their resilient offense despite their struggles this season, underscored by a 31-46 record. Meanwhile, the Guardians are hovering around .500 at 37-36, but are still searching for consistency.
Two contrasting starting pitchers will take the mound: Jeffrey Springs for the Athletics and Tanner Bibee for the Guardians. Springs, with a ranking of #171 among approximately 350 pitchers, has had an average season, sporting a 4.52 ERA and a 5-5 record. Despite his recent solid start where he allowed just 2 earned runs in 6 innings, his projections indicate he may struggle today, particularly with a high average of 5.4 hits allowed.
In contrast, Tanner Bibee, ranked #68 in the league, boasts a better 3.79 ERA despite a 4-6 record. He’s expected to pitch just under 6 innings while striking out an average of 5.9 batters, although his 4.33 xFIP suggests he may face challenges going forward. The Athletics will be looking to exploit his high flyball rate with their powerful offense, which ranks 6th in MLB with 97 home runs.
The betting market reflects this competitive matchup, with the Athletics currently holding a moneyline of +100 and a high implied team total of 4.39 runs. Conversely, the Guardians are at -120 with an implied total of 4.61 runs. With both teams vying for a win, this game is shaping up to be an exciting contest for fans and bettors alike.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)Tanner Bibee’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 12.9% from last season to this one (43.4% to 30.5%) .Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Lane Thomas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)This year, Lane Thomas’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 7.4% last year to just 0% this year.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Cleveland Guardians – 2H MoneylineThe Cleveland Guardians bullpen profiles as the 10th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Athletics Insights
- Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Jeffrey Springs’s 89.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 7th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Brent Rooker has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94.2-mph over the last 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Today, Luis Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.8% rate (96th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120/+100)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 71 games (+10.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.14 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Jacob Wilson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)