Discover Odds and Betting Trends for Red Sox vs Yankees – 6/7/25

Boston Red Sox

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New York Yankees

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox clash again on June 7, 2025, at Yankee Stadium in what is shaping up to be an intense American League East matchup. The Yankees hold a strong record of 39-23 this season, while the Red Sox are struggling at 30-35. In their previous game, the Yankees emerged victorious, defeating the Red Sox 9-6, solidifying their dominant offensive reputation.

Starting for the Yankees is Ryan Yarbrough, who has a Win/Loss record of 3-0 this year along with an impressive 2.83 ERA. However, his underlying metrics suggest he might be due for a downturn, as his 3.65 xFIP indicates potential struggles ahead. In contrast, the Red Sox will send out Garrett Crochet, an elite pitcher with a 1.98 ERA and a stellar ranking of 7th among MLB starters. This disparity could be key, as Crochet has shown the ability to pitch deep into games, averaging 5.9 innings per start and striking out 7.5 batters on average.

Offensively, the Yankees are ranked 1st in MLB, showcasing their tremendous power and consistency with a strong team batting average and an impressive 2nd place in home runs. Their best hitter has been performing at an elite level, boasting a 0.397 batting average and a staggering 1.253 OPS. The Red Sox, while 6th overall in offensive rankings, may find it challenging to keep pace, particularly given their recent inconsistency.

With a low Game Total of 7.5 runs, the outlook leans towards another competitive yet high-scoring affair. The projections suggest that while the Yankees have considerable strengths, the overall context of today’s matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for betting enthusiasts to consider the Yankees’ solid performance against Crochet’s excellence.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Garrett Crochet meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Trevor Story – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Trevor Story has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 102.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Boston Red Sox (25.4% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy batting order of the day.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-110)
  Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
  Boston’s #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for DJ LeMahieu, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen profiles as the 4th-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.42 Units / 44% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+115)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+220/-300)
  DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)