Stream the Rangers vs Nationals Game Live – 6/06/2025

Texas Rangers

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Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals will face off against the Texas Rangers in an Interleague matchup at Nationals Park on June 6, 2025. Both teams are struggling this season, with the Nationals holding a 29-33 record and the Rangers at 29-34. The Nationals are projected to start Mike Soroka, while Patrick Corbin is set to take the mound for the Rangers.

In their last games on June 5, the Nationals had a rough outing, losing 7-1. This follows a trend, as they’ve been inconsistent recently. Soroka’s performance has been below average, with a Win/Loss record of 2-3 and an ERA of 5.81. However, his xFIP of 3.61 suggests he’s been unlucky and may perform better going forward. Soroka’s projections for today show he will likely pitch around 5.2 innings, allowing about 2.6 earned runs, but he struggles with walks and hits allowed, which could be exploited by the Rangers.

On the other hand, Corbin has been a mixed bag this season. His 3.71 ERA indicates good performance, but his xFIP at 4.30 suggests he might be due for some regression. He pitched well in his last start on May 31, allowing only 2 earned runs over 5 innings. However, both pitchers face offenses that are underwhelming, with the Nationals ranked 16th in MLB and the Rangers at a troubling 29th.

According to projections, the Nationals have an implied team total of 4.50 runs for this matchup. With the Rangers struggling overall, particularly in their offense, this could give the Nationals an edge, despite their recent woes. Given the high Game Total of 9.0 runs, this matchup promises to be an exciting one, with both teams looking to turn their season around.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Patrick Corbin’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (62.4% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen profiles as the 2nd-worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Mike Soroka – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Mike Soroka’s fastball velocity has spiked 1.5 mph this season (93.5 mph) over where it was last season (92 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  James Wood has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.9-mph average to last season’s 96.6-mph EV.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.64 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-125/-105)
  Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 34% ROI)