Get Tickets Information for Cardinals vs Rangers – 5/31/2025

St. Louis Cardinals

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Texas Rangers

The Texas Rangers will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Globe Life Field on May 31, 2025, in the second game of their interleague series. The Rangers are currently struggling with a record of 28-30, placing them below average this season, while the Cardinals sit at 32-25, enjoying a solid campaign. In their most recent matchup on May 30, the Rangers triumphed in a surprising 11-1 blowout against the Cardinals, who will be eager to rebound after that disappointing performance.

Texas is projected to start Patrick Corbin, who has had a rough year by Power Rankings standards, coming in at #306 among MLB pitchers. His ERA of 3.75 is decent, but his 4.33 xFIP suggests he has been fortunate and may regress. Corbin’s last outing was unremarkable, going 5 innings with 3 earned runs. He projects to pitch an average of 5.3 innings today, allowing 2.9 earned runs, but his strikeout potential is low at 3.9 per game.

On the other side, St. Louis will counter with Sonny Gray, who has been exceptional with a #28 ranking in the league. Gray’s ERA is slightly higher at 4.06, but his impressive 3.21 xFIP indicates he could improve. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs over 6 innings, and he projects to pitch 5.7 innings today with 2.7 earned runs allowed and a higher strikeout rate of 5.7.

The Rangers’ offense has been a major concern, ranking 30th in the league, while the Cardinals boast the 7th best offense overall. With the Cardinals having a high implied team total of 4.54 runs compared to the Rangers’ 3.96, the projections favor St. Louis in this matchup. Given the recent form of both teams and the advantages in pitching and offense, the Cardinals are poised to bounce back in this critical game.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Sonny Gray’s cutter percentage has fallen by 6.4% from last season to this one (17.8% to 11.4%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
  Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• St. Louis Cardinals bats collectively rank 27th- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 7.1% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165/+125)
  Patrick Corbin’s 90.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1-mph decrease from last year’s 91.4-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Josh Jung has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 78.8-mph in the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (-150)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
  Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)