See the Updated Player Rankings for Yankees vs Rockies – 5/25/25

New York Yankees

@

Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies prepare to host the New York Yankees on May 25, 2025, at Coors Field, they find themselves in a difficult position this season, sporting a dismal 9-43 record. Conversely, the Yankees are thriving, currently sitting at 31-20, showcasing one of the best offenses in MLB. The Rockies’ recent performance has been particularly troubling; they suffered a crushing 13-1 defeat to the Yankees just a day prior, further compounding their struggles.

On the mound, Colorado is projected to start Antonio Senzatela, who has had a rough season with a 1-8 record and a troubling 6.34 ERA. Despite a 4.66 xFIP suggesting he may have been unlucky, Senzatela’s projections indicate he could struggle again, averaging only 4.8 innings pitched and allowing 3.7 earned runs today. His ability to keep the ball on the ground (50% groundball rate) may offer a slight edge against a Yankees lineup that thrives on power, currently leading MLB with 86 home runs.

Opposing him is Will Warren, who has been solid for the Yankees, with a 3-2 record and a 4.05 ERA. Warren’s 29.7% strikeout rate plays well against a Rockies offense that ranks 1st in strikeouts. The projections suggest he could pitch around 5.1 innings, allowing 2.8 earned runs, further solidifying his potential to control the game.

With the Yankees’ offense ranking 1st overall and the Rockies’ struggling offense sitting at 28th, the Yankees are heavy favorites in this matchup. The Rockies’ best hitter has been performing well lately, but it’s unlikely to be enough against a Yankees team that boasts a potent lineup and a strong bullpen ranked 6th in MLB. As the Rockies look to turn their season around, they face a daunting challenge against one of baseball’s elite teams.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-280)
  The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cody Bellinger stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+210)
  Antonio Senzatela is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #7 HR venue in the majors — in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
  New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Mickey Moniak, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Antonio Senzatela – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Hunter Goodman, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.82 Units / 21% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+490/-850)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+13.40 Units / 223% ROI)