Follow Live Updates on Tigers vs Brewers – Tuesday, April 15th, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Milwaukee Brewers

In a pivotal Interleague matchup, the Milwaukee Brewers host the Detroit Tigers on April 15, 2025, following a lopsided encounter the previous day, where both teams played to a 9-1 result—favoring the Tigers. At 8-9, the Brewers are hoping to turn their season around against a strong Tigers squad that boasts a 10-6 record.

On the mound, the Brewers are projected to start Quinn Priester, who has shown flashes of brilliance this year with a 1.80 ERA, but his position in the Power Rankings at #153 suggests he has been more fortunate than skillful. Priester’s struggles with walks (projected at 1.6 today) and hits (5.1 allowed on average) may bring concern against a Tigers lineup that ranks as the 8th best in MLB. Conversely, Jack Flaherty is set to take the hill for Detroit, possessing a 1.62 ERA and a much more favorable Power Ranking at #54. Flaherty’s ability to miss bats (6.3 strikeouts projected) provides him with an advantage over a Brewers offense that currently ranks 21st overall.

Despite their recent poor performance, the projections suggest that the Brewers can make a game of it, especially with their recent offensive uptick. They’re averaging a respectable .289 batting average from their best hitter over the last week. Given the close odds—Brewers at -105 and Tigers at -115—betting markets are indicating a tightly contested game.

As Quinn Priester faces a high-strikeout Tigers offense, he’ll need to find a way to capitalize on their weaknesses to keep the game competitive. With a total set at 8.0 runs, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams at different stages of performance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jack Flaherty (32.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 6 GB hitters in Milwaukee’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Spencer Torkelson is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Quinn Priester – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Quinn Priester has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 6.09 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.94 — a 0.85 K/9 discrepancy.
  Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.
• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Sal Frelick has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen projects as the 8th-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Riley Greene – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-120/-110)
  Riley Greene has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)