
Chicago White Sox
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Athletics
+135O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-160
(-110/-110)-160
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)Erick Fedde’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (76.9% compared to 64.1% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)Chase Meidroth has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago White Sox – 2H MoneylineThe Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – Moneyline (-160)The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Nick Kurtz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last season’s 92.7-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185/-245)Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
