
Los Angeles Angels

Athletics
(-110/-110)-110
As the Athletics prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on August 17, 2025, at Sutter Health Park, both teams are well aware that this matchup holds significance despite their disappointing seasons. The Athletics currently find themselves at 56-69, while the Angels sit at 59-64. Both teams are underperforming, yet they rank quite differently when it comes to offensive capabilities; the Athletics boast the 7th best offense in MLB, while the Angels rank 17th.
In their last outing, the Athletics fell to the Angels, making this the third game of the series and adding even more urgency to the matchup. Jeffrey Springs is projected to take the mound for the Athletics, bringing a 10-8 record and a 4.06 ERA. However, his 4.57 xFIP indicates he may have been fortunate this season, and he faces a tough test against a powerful Angels offense that leads the league in strikeouts. Springs’ low strikeout rate might play to his advantage, as the Angels have struggled against pitchers who can keep the ball in the zone.
On the other hand, Jose Soriano, slated to start for the Angels, has had a better season with an 8-9 record and a solid 3.84 ERA. His high groundball rate (67 GB%) could prove beneficial against the Athletics’ strong hitters, as he looks to limit their power potential. Both pitchers project to allow a high number of hits, which could lead to an offensive showdown, especially with the Game Total set at a generous 10.0 runs.
With advanced-stat Power Rankings suggesting the Athletics have a stronger offense than their recent performance reflects, this game could be an opportunity for them to break out. Given their 5.00 implied team total for this matchup, the Athletics may just find a way to capitalize against Soriano and get back on track.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jose Soriano – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Compared to the average starting pitcher, Jose Soriano has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 4.1 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)In today’s matchup, Zach Neto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.2% rate (93rd percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Athletics Insights
- Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)The Los Angeles Angels have 8 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+750/-1600)Lawrence Butler has averaged 22.1 steals per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 82nd percentile for base-stealing.Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
- The Athletics have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future gamesExplain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 93 games (+7.87 Units / 7% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+19.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Darell Hernaiz – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)Darell Hernaiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
