Starting Lineup for Mariners vs Guardians - June 27, 2026

-150O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)+130

Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-195/+150)
Logan Gilbert has averaged 17.4 outs per outing this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Slade Cecconi’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (52.3% vs. 45.3% last year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 86.3-mph mark last season has decreased to 83-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Guardians’s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Travis Bazzana – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-140)
Travis Bazzana has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)

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