Score for Reds vs Brewers Game - June 29, 2026

+115O/U: 9
(-120/+100)-135

Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Nick Lodolo has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Matt McLain is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Dane Myers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Robert Gasser – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Robert Gasser will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 19.9% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Spencer Steer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)

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