Score for Reds vs Brewers Game – June 29, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Nick Lodolo has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under Hits
  Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Dane Myers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
  Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Robert Gasser – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  With 9 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Robert Gasser will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 19.9% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-145)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)