
Kansas City Royals
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+235O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-275
(-120/+100)-275
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (+235)The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the best out of every team in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Nick Loftin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Nick Loftin is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Kansas City has performed as the #27 offense in the game when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (42.2% rate this year).Explain: Balls that are hit either too high or too low can easy to field, but balls hit between -4° and 26° are far more likely to become base hits.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 19.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Tarik Skubal has recorded 18.1 outs per GS this year, placing in the 95th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Freddie Freeman is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch all game as none of the available options for the Kansas City Royals share his handedness.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 5th-best among all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-140/+110)Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
