Best Player Prop Bets for Rays vs Athletics – Monday, August 10th, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

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Athletics

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Freddy Peralta has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.2% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Hitters such as Yandy Diaz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob Lopez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  In today’s game, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 50.6% rate (99th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Jacob Lopez’s 89.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 7th percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Compared to their .316 overall projected rate, the .299 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Athletics projected batting order in this game suggests this version of the lineup a good deal missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.