Review Dodgers vs Twins Bets and Betting Trends – Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Minnesota Twins

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Out of all starters, Shohei Ohtani’s fastball velocity of 97.3 mph grades out in the 97th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Shohei Ohtani has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 95.7-mph over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
  Joe Ryan is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #23 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Ryan Kreidler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Despite posting a .381 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan Kreidler has experienced some positive variance given the .101 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• The Minnesota Twins have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan Kreidler, Byron Buxton, Tristan Gray).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (+105)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+6.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• Josh Bell – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-155)
  Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 51% ROI)