Check Out D-Backs vs Cardinals Picks and Betting Tips - Wednesday June 24th, 2026

-105O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-115

Mitch Bratt – Over/Under 11.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Mitch Bratt to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 63 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (17.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Matthew Liberatore’s cutter rate has dropped by 6.9% from last year to this one (10.6% to 3.7%) .
Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen profiles as the 9th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+115)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 50 games (+25.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Corbin Carroll – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+145/-185)
Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)

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