Check Out D-Backs vs Cardinals Picks and Betting Tips – Wednesday June 24th, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Mitch Bratt – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Mitch Bratt to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 63 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks (17.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Matthew Liberatore’s cutter rate has dropped by 6.9% from last year to this one (10.6% to 3.7%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Alec Burleson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)
  Alec Burleson is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -1.5 (+180)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 50 games (+25.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)