
Boston Red Sox
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Baltimore Orioles
-120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+100
(-110/-110)+100
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Ranger Suárez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Ranger Suarez has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jarren Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (+100)The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
