
St. Louis Cardinals
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+240O/U: 7.5
(-120/+100)-290
(-120/+100)-290
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+230)Quinn Mathews performed well in his last start and gave up 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 3rd-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-145)Tarik Skubal has tallied 18.1 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under HitsMax Muncy has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under Total BasesMax Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +1.5 (-125)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.90 Units / 57% ROI)
