
Miami Marlins
@

Kansas City Royals
-115O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-105
(-110/-110)-105
Miami Marlins Insights
- Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Sandy Alcantara’s curveball rate has dropped by 15% from last season to this one (18% to 3%) .Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
- Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Kyle Stowers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 97-mph in the past two weeks.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heriberto Hernandez, Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine, Owen Caissie).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (-105)Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Kyle Isbel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Kyle Isbel is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Miami (#2-best of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Kansas City Royals – 2H MoneylineThe Kansas City Royals bullpen grades out as the worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
