
Milwaukee Brewers
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Chicago Cubs
-125O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+105
(-110/-110)+105
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-125)The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Jackson Chourio has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 92-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Compared to league average, Kevin Gausman has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 3.4 adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Pedro Ramirez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)Milwaukee’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Pedro Ramirez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+105)The best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-125)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+750/-1600)Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)
