Rays vs Dodgers Picks and Betting Trends - 6/15/2026

+155O/U: 9.5
(-105/-115)-175

Nick Martinez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
Nick Martinez’s change-up usage has increased by 8.4% from last season to this one (19.6% to 28%) .
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Austin Slater – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Tampa Bay Rays – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays’ bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Eric Lauer – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Eric Lauer’s 2134-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a sizeable 107-rpm decline from last season’s 2241-rpm mark.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Max Muncy has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season’s 95-mph average.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.2% rate (99th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line +1.5 (-130)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-125/-105)
Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.55 Units / 57% ROI)

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