Miami Marlins
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Philadelphia Phillies
+150O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-170
(-110/-110)-170
Miami Marlins Insights
- Tyler Phillips – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Leonardo Jimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)Leo Jimenez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Among all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph ranks in the 91st percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.