Mets vs Pirates Injury Report – Friday, August 07, 2026

New York Mets

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

New York Mets Insights

• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+195/-265)
  When it comes to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Carmen Mlodzinski – Over/Under 12.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Carmen Mlodzinski to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
  Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  In today’s matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.5% rate (77th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-205)
  Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)