
Texas Rangers
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Chicago White Sox
+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Texas Rangers Insights
- Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Kumar Rocker’s slider usage has jumped by 22.5% from last season to this one (15.8% to 38.3%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Jake Burger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Jake Burger is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst among all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (-135)The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)Miguel Vargas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last season’s 91.8-mph average.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (-135)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Joc Pederson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+115/-150)Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
