
Houston Astros
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Kansas City Royals
+110O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-130
(+100/-120)-130
Houston Astros Insights
- Houston Astros – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)In his previous start, Mike Burrows allowed a whopping 5 earned runs.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- Jake Meyers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)Jake Meyers has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (+110)The 5th-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Houston Astros.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Noah Cameron – Over/Under Pitching OutsAs forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Noah Cameron is expected to tally an average of 16.4 outs in today’s matchup.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Jac Caglianone has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.9-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Kansas City Royals – 2H MoneylineThe Kansas City Royals bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (+110)The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 52% ROI)
