Learn About D-Backs vs Cardinals Picks and Betting Trends – Monday June 22, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+120)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Andre Pallante projects to strikeout 3.6 batters today, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• Nathan Church – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Nathan Church has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 28% ROI)