Injury Report for Brewers vs Twins - Friday, May 15th, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-110

Coleman Crow – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+110)
Coleman Crow has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 14.9 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
Extreme groundball bats like Luis Rengifo are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Milwaukee’s 8.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year: #30 overall.
Explain: A low launch angle generally means the hitter struggles to lift the ball into the air, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Joe Ryan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Joe Ryan’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (43.1% vs. 37.6% last season) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Brooks Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
Brooks Lee is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Minnesota Twins bats jointly rank among the worst in the league this year ( 3rd-worst) as far as their 88.1-mph average exit velocity.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Ryan Jeffers – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-175)
Ryan Jeffers has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)

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