
Texas Rangers
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Athletics
+100O/U: 9.5
(-115/-105)-120
(-115/-105)-120
Texas Rangers Insights
- Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Kumar Rocker’s slider usage has increased by 22.2% from last season to this one (15.8% to 38%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Extreme flyball batters like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – Moneyline (-120)The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The Athletics have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Kurtz, Denzel Clarke, Max Muncy).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+110)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jake Burger – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+115/-145)Jake Burger has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
