Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
(-110/-110)-155
As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face the Milwaukee Brewers on September 14, 2024, both teams find themselves in a tightly contested series, with the D-Backs looking to bounce back after a narrow 2-1 loss to the Brewers the previous day. This matchup is crucial for both sides, as they aim to solidify their positions in the playoff race.
The Diamondbacks, currently holding a record of 82-65, boast the 1st best offense in MLB, ranking highly in team batting average and home runs. Their elite lineup is led by Corbin Carroll, who has had a stellar season, contributing significantly to their offensive output. In contrast, the Brewers, with an impressive record of 85-62, feature a more average offense by comparison, currently ranking 11th overall. However, they have shown their resilience, specifically with standout performances from Willy Adames and William Contreras.
On the mound, the Diamondbacks will send Brandon Pfaadt to take the hill. Pfaadt, despite having an average ERA of 4.42 this season, is rated as the 80th best starting pitcher, indicating he is above average overall. He is projected to pitch about 5.2 innings today, allowing around 2.4 earned runs. His low walk rate may counter the Brewers’ patient approach at the plate, likely giving him a slight edge in this matchup.
Meanwhile, Tobias Myers will start for the Brewers. Despite an excellent ERA of 2.93, the projections suggest he may have benefited from a bit of luck, and he is projected to struggle, especially against a top-tier offense like the Diamondbacks’.
According to the leading MLB projection system, the Diamondbacks are favored with a projected win probability of 57%, reflecting their strong offensive capabilities and favorable matchup against Myers. If Arizona can capitalize on the opportunities presented, they should be able to even the series in front of their home crowd at Chase Field.
Betting Trends
- Tobias Myers – Over/Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-105/-125)Tobias Myers has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.35 Units / 65% ROI)