Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Nationals vs Giants - Tuesday, June 09, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110

Andrew Alvarez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
Andrew Alvarez’s 91-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 18th percentile among all starters.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jose Tena – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
In comparison to his 89.2-mph average last year, Jose Tena’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.4 mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Adrian Houser – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
Adrian Houser has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.4 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Willy Adames – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The San Francisco Giants have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willy Adames, Rafael Devers, Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge, Daniel Susac).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+115)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Washington Nationals – Run Line -1.0 (+125)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 36 of their last 50 away games (+17.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Luis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)
Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.71 Units / 20% ROI)

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