Get Betting Tips and Odds for Twins vs Mets – 4/22/2026

Minnesota Twins

@

New York Mets

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Connor Prielipp – Over/Under 13.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Connor Prielipp to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Byron Buxton has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 80.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Minnesota’s 88.4-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball: #26 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

New York Mets Insights

• Clay Holmes – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Clay Holmes’s cut-fastball utilization has spiked by 5.5% from last year to this one (8.3% to 13.8%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 55% ROI)
• Brooks Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1200/-6000)
  Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+18.50 Units / 185% ROI)