Game Time for Athletics vs Yankees – 4/08/2026

Athletics

@

New York Yankees

Athletics Insights

• Luis Severino – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Luis Severino’s cutter utilization has increased by 9% from last year to this one (17.3% to 26.3%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  As it relates to his home runs, Shea Langeliers has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 38.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.9.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Carlos Cortes hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Will Warren’s fastball spin rate of 2572.2 rpm grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Giancarlo Stanton – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Giancarlo Stanton has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 21.2% rate last season has fallen off to 16% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The New York Yankees have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan McMahon, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Giancarlo Stanton).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-125)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 away games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+195/-265)
  Jacob Wilson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)