Read the Game Recap for Mets vs Braves - August 11th, 2026

+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135

Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

Martin Perez – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
Martin Perez has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 9.2 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Nolan McLean
Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Drake Baldwin has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-150)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.55 Units / 59% ROI)
New York Mets – Run Line +1.5 (-185)
The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Jorge Polanco – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)

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