Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Brewers vs Padres – Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers logo

Milwaukee Brewers

@
San Diego Padres logo

San Diego Padres

-140O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)
+120

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

  • Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kyle Harrison to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
    Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
  • Christian Yelich – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
    Christian Yelich is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
    Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (49.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Diego Padres Insights

  • Walker Buehler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
    The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Betting Trends

  • San Diego Padres – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
    The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.30 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
    The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)