
Philadelphia Phillies
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St. Louis Cardinals
-165O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+145
(-110/-110)+145
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-145)Cristopher Sanchez has been granted an above-average leash this year, tallying 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (46.8% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Andre Pallante will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
