Philadelphia Phillies
@
St. Louis Cardinals
-160O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+135
(-110/-110)+135
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)Cristopher Sanchez has been granted an above-average leash this year, tallying 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (11th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Andre Pallante will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Masyn Winn – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+115/-150)Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 43% ROI)