Track the Live Score for Reds vs Brewers – 9/12/2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Brady Singer has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 3.5 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  The Cincinnati Reds bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Shane Drohan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  The Cincinnati Reds have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Shane Drohan in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jake Bauers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Jake Bauers has been lucky this year, putting up a .382 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .049 discrepancy.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-205)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• Cooper Pratt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Cooper Pratt has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)