Follow Live Updates on Giants vs Athletics - Sunday, May 17th, 2026

+125O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-150

San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
Adrian Houser was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and conceded 1 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
Matt Chapman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willy Adames, Daniel Susac, Eric Haase, Rafael Devers).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-165)
Jeffrey Springs is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Nick Kurtz has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last year’s 92.7-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Athletics – 2H Moneyline
The Athletics bullpen ranks as the 7th-worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-165)
The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Matt Chapman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)
Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)

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