Find the Official Lineup for Brewers vs Pirates - 7/11/2026

-145O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+120

Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-145)
The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams in action today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Garrett Mitchell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Garrett Mitchell has been lucky this year, posting a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .041 deviation.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Milwaukee Brewers batters collectively rank near the top of MLB this year (7th-) as far as their 89.2-mph average exit velocity.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Bubba Chandler – Over/Under Pitching Outs
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bubba Chandler is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of the day.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Marcell Ozuna – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
Ryan O’Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-145)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+200/-270)
Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)

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