
Tampa Bay Rays
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Los Angeles Angels
-160O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+140
(-110/-110)+140
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Shane McClanahan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)With 9 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Shane McClanahan will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Chandler Simpson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Tampa Bay Rays hitters collectively grade out 30th- in the majors for power this year when using their 5.4% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+140)The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Zach Neto has been hot of late, whalloping 3 long-balls in the past week.Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Junior Caminero – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-130/+100)Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
