
Colorado Rockies
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Athletics
+180O/U: 14
(-110/-110)-210
(-110/-110)-210
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+170)Sean Sullivan is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Ranking in the 95th percentile, Hunter Goodman has posted a .393 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
- Compared to their .324 overall projected rate, the .296 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected offense in this game suggests this version of the lineup significantly missing some of their usual firepower.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Athletics Insights
- Gage Jump – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Gage Jump in this matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Shea Langeliers’s launch angle this year (20.5°) is significantly higher than his 16.3° figure last season.Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 14.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Henry Bolte – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)Henry Bolte has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
