Dive Into the Simulation and Insights for Rays vs Yankees Match Preview – May 22, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  In his last outing, Nick Martinez turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Taylor Walls – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last season has fallen off to 81.6-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Throwing 76.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Gerrit Cole checks in at the 11th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Aaron Judge, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Ryan McMahon).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+125)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.15 Units / 56% ROI)
• Junior Caminero – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)