
Los Angeles Angels
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Boston Red Sox
+150O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-175
(-110/-110)-175
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Grayson Rodriguez – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Recording 14.6 outs per outing this year on average, Grayson Rodriguez places him the 20th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Wade Meckler – Over/Under HitsWade Meckler is penciled in 9th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Christian Moore – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+220/-300)Christian Moore has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-170)Because of his large platoon split, Patrick Sandoval has a tough challenge being matched up with 8 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa – Over/Under Total BasesIsiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 84.6-mph mark last year has decreased to 82.2-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Boston Red Sox have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 12.3° mark is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (#28 overall).Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
