
San Francisco Giants
@

Colorado Rockies
-150O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)+125
(-110/-110)+125
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Logan Webb’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (48.6 vs. 41.3% last year) is not ideal since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Bryce Eldridge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Bryce Eldridge has big-time HR ability (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (30.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen has a pitch-to-contact profile (9th percentile K%) — great news for Eldridge.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- San Francisco Giants – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst among all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Michael Lorenzen has recorded an 8.7% Swinging Strike rate this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
- Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Tyler Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 88.5-mph mark last year has fallen off to 86-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-145/+110)Jake McCarthy has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
