Discover Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Yankees – 5/18/2026

Toronto Blue Jays

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New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Patrick Corbin has averaged 81 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates George Springer’s true offensive ability to be a .353, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .096 difference between that figure and his actual .257 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Toronto Blue Jays offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  With 8 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Ryan Weathers faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Jazz Chisholm Jr. has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin struggles to strike batters out (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen projects as the 10th-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+115)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.25 Units / 82% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• Myles Straw – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-3000)
  Myles Straw has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)