Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Brewers vs Cubs - Monday, May 18, 2026

+140O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)-160

Brandon Sproat – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Brandon Sproat’s 2037.8-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 9th percentile out of all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jake Bauers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
This season, Jake Bauers has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97 mph compared to last year’s 94.9 mph mark.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Because groundball hitters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Shota Imanaga and his 44.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in this outing being matched up with 6 opposing GB batters.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
In terms of his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .247 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-160)
The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line +1.5 (-135)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Brice Turang – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)

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