
Seattle Mariners
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Baltimore Orioles
-110O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-110
(-120/+100)-110
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryan Woo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)In his last game started, Bryan Woo was rolling and accumulated 9 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)Dominic Canzone has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 102.1-mph over the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Recording 93.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Kyle Bradish falls in the 83rd percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Seattle’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Coby Mayo, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-110)The 3rd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+115)The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cole Young – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-130/+100)Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
