
Toronto Blue Jays
@

Baltimore Orioles
+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Spencer Miles – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Miles in this matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Nathan Lukes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Nathan Lukes’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.7-mph EV last season has fallen off to 87.2-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- The Toronto Blue Jays (19.9 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)In his previous game started, Kyle Bradish turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)Batters such as Taylor Ward with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Miles who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Baltimore Orioles – 2H MoneylineThe Baltimore Orioles bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-135)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.5 (-185)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+490/-850)Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+14.50 Units / 161% ROI)
