
Toronto Blue Jays
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Baltimore Orioles
+110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Spencer Miles – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Spencer Miles has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 54.3% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Tyler Heineman – Over/Under Total BasesTyler Heineman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 87.8-mph mark last season has lowered to 85-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- The Toronto Blue Jays (18.8 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-130)Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)Batters such as Taylor Ward with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Miles who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Baltimore Orioles – 2H MoneylineThe Baltimore Orioles bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
