Live Score for Twins vs Pirates – May 31st, 2026

Minnesota Twins

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Zebby Matthews – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Zebby Matthews has used his curveball 10.8% more often this year (16.6%) than he did last year (5.8%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Luke Keaschall – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Luke Keaschall’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.1-mph mark last year has fallen to 84.1-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Today’s version of the Twins projected offense is a bit watered down, as their .300 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .313 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  When it comes to his batting average, Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .157 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen profiles as the 8th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-115)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – Run Line +1.5 (-160)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)