
Milwaukee Brewers
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Pittsburgh Pirates
+115O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-135
(-105/-115)-135
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Robert Gasser – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)The Pittsburgh Pirates have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Milwaukee Brewers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen profiles as the 5th-best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 53% ROI)
